Reminds me of the cyclical life of institutions described in the Four Turnings cycle theory on society:
The Third Turning is an Unraveling. Old Heroes die, Artists enter elderhood, Prophets enter midlife, Nomads enter young adulthood—and a new generation of child Heroes is born. The mood of this era is in many ways the opposite of a High. Institutions are weak and distrusted, while individualism is strong and flourishing.
I’m not sure if we’re in the third cycle (unraveling) or the fourth cycle (crisis) but it gives me hope we may be drifting towards a the birth of a new cycle placing us in a first turning (a high with strong institutions, strong community, strong collective identity).
Actually, I think we’re entering a fourth turning:
The Fourth Turning is a Crisis. Old Artists die, Prophets enter elderhood, Nomads enter midlife, Heroes enter young adulthood—and a new generation of child Artists is born.
This is an era in which America’s institutional life is torn down and rebuilt from the ground up—always in response to a perceived threat to the nation’s very survival. Civic authority revives, cultural expression finds a community purpose, and people begin to locate themselves as members of a larger group.
In every instance, Fourth Turnings have eventually become new “founding moments” in America’s history, refreshing and redefining the national identity.
The financial crisis, the insane debt, is going to be the end of the status quo. Too many will be/are unable to retire. Too many living pay check to pay check, too many jobs are bull **** jobs (im not being crude, it’s a term coined for describing jobs that really don’t produce value) a government shackled by unfathomable debt. It’s too much and a rebirth is needed to move on from it. I think we’re at the start of the fourth turning/crisis. IF the suspicion that the unraveling (third turning) began around 2000 (and was signaled by the 2001 9/11 attacks) then we went through an unraveling that took about 20 to 25 years to occur. Assuming the fourth turning takes a comparable amount of time to run it’s course, perhaps we’re through with it and enter a first turning some time around 2038 to 2045
Compare 2023 to 2001. You didn’t have a smart phone. Your teenager didn’t have a cellphone. Alternative media wasn’t a thing, apps like TikTok weren’t shaping culture. Our social schisms (certainly showing signs of eventually becoming bigger deals in the future) were far less brazen.
All this change happened in about 20 years.
If the general idea of societal turnings is more or less accurate (and you might say supported by the documented Book of Mormon pride cycle with seasons of prosperity and righteousness coming and going with seasons of turmoil and wickedness), how much good (or healing) might occur 20 years from now? How much better could things hypothetically look in 2043?
I’m becoming more hopeful for the future though im uncertain of how dark this winter season (the season attributed to the fourth turning) may be. Things may need to get shockingly ugly before they get better.
It’s well documented on the left and the right that there’s a massive population of loner males. I wish more of them could perhaps have healthier perspective and see that winter (if things get really bad we may look back on the near future and call what could be coming “war times”) really may not be the ideal season to form families and begin bringing children into this world. I’m not saying someone is wrong for having a child now, but I am saying there is a real, major social phenomenon of isolated men that are not marrying and are not producing children and under a theory centered on turning cycles, I think this may be wisdom in the Lord. I think we may be headed for something that brings societal healing, a spring season, that gave birth to good, righteous men, and after the battle of the fourth turning is fought, then, in the first turning (a societal high) is the time to bring in a large number of children:
The First Turning is a High. Old Prophets die, Nomads enter elderhood, Heroes enter midlife, Artists enter young adulthood—and a new generation of Prophets is born.
This is an era when institutions are strong and individualism is weak. Society is confident about where it wants to go collectively, even if those outside the majoritarian center feel stifled by the conformity. America’s most recent First Turning was the post-World War II American High, beginning in 1946 and ending with the assassination of John Kennedy in 1963, a key lifecycle marker for today’s older Americans. Coming of age during this High was the Artist archetype Silent Generation (born 1925 to 1942).
Known for their caution, conformity, and institutional trust, Silent young adults embodied the ethos of the High. Most married early, sought stable corporate jobs, and slipped quietly into America’s gleaming new suburbs..
https://www.lifecourse.com/about/method ... nings.html