Nope, sorry, not eager much anymore about any of this. When the pointless cry wolf fearmongering goes on for multiple decades, producing nothing but a big bunch of the same nothing that's been going on for more than a thousand years, eagerness gets plenty lost on that bunch of ho-hum.
The silly thing that people get hung up on with these probability prediction stats, is they think it can only be a thing after X amount of tries/iterations. If its 1 in a billion, people think it can only come about after 999,999,999 tries. No, it could happen on the 1st try. Just as someone could buy their very first Powerball ticket ever, and win the jackpot. Someone can drop a single quarter while walking by the slots in Vegas, and win the house payout. Someone who has never thrown a knife before could give it a toss and hit square in the bullseye on the first toss, regardless of if that probability is 1 in 15,000, or whatever the number is.
So, same deal here. This earthquake predictor dude that pegged the 7.3 could get his prediction to come true on his first guess. Or I guess the hundredth, or whatever amount he has made since he started shooting blindly with "prophecies" in dark rooms.
Now let's get to you. You trying to discredit me with some predicting gotchas? Sorry, brah, you should well know that's not how a self-ordained Anti-Prophet works. I don't predict things happening - I prophesy that the idiotic things that others "prophesy" won't happen. Like I said, I'm pretty sure my track record is over a dozen. More than a dozen in a row. (go back thru the forums and do an official count for me. Thanks!) So, what's the probability of that? The probability that someone will be 100% spot on over a dozen times in a row? Keep in mind, my next 100% spot on is coming in 2024. So tack another onto my count.
If you want to do the earthquake predicting thing, and try and peg a 7.3, rock-n-roll that one up. Maybe you, too, will get it on the first try. Maybe it won't be until you've exhausted all probable tries. Maybe it will be somewhere in between. Now that we're on earthquakes, though, I will straight up anti-prophesy that at least 666,666 >:) earthquakes will happen between now and that eclipse that WON'T be anything indicative of the last days, Second Coming, end of world, what have you.
Worlds without end.